Mexico Election 2024: Results Mexico Election Results for Presidential, Congressional Races
Claudia Sheinbaum is set to become Mexico’s first female president after a landslide victory in the country's biggest ever election. As well as the next head of state, voters have also been selecting a new congress, governors for eight states, the capital’s mayor, and a slew of other local positions.
(Follow our live blog for the latest news and analysis of Mexico's presidential election.)
Sheinbaum will succeed her mentor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, after seeing off the challenge of Xóchitl Gálvez, who represents a coalition of PRI-PAN-PRD, and Jorge Álvarez Máynez of the newer Movimiento Ciudadano party.
Mexico Presidential Election Results
Congressional results are key as Morena and its coalition seek constitutional majorities in both chambers. Sheinbaum and her allies won two-thirds of the seats in the lower house and expect to replicate that success in the senate.
The final vote count determines how proportional representation seats are allocated, which will impact the final outcome. A final calculation could take days.
Mexico Lower House Election Results
Ruling party Morena, which includes PVEM and PT in its coalition, captured two-thirds of seats for a supermajority.
Mexico Senate Election Results
Ruling party Morena, which includes PVEM and PT in its coalition, expects to also capture a supermajority in the Senate.
The Candidates
Claudia Sheinbaum
The student activist-turned climate scientist-turned politician ran on a platform of continuity with López Obrador’s popular Morena party. Sheinbaum has a long career as a Mexico City official: She was first environmental secretary when López Obrador ran the capital early this century and later oversaw one of its big southern districts before becoming mayor herself in 2018.
Be sure to check out our interview with Sheinbaum. You can read highlights on Donald Trump, migration, infrastructure and energy here and watch the whole video here.
Xóchitl Gálvez
The main opposition candidate has been tasked with leading a coalition of disparate political parties whose identities have fluctuated over time — from the more right-wing PAN, to the historically powerful PRI and the once left-leaning PRD — that for many voters have lost their luster. Gálvez herself grew up in poverty and was a businesswoman before entering politics.
Check out our full 2023 interview with Gálvez here. You can read highlights on her thoughts on nearshoring, insecurity and Donald Trump here.
Jorge Álvarez Maynez
The last to join the presidential race, he became the nominee of the newer Movimiento Ciudadano party on Jan. 9 after Nuevo León Governor Samuel García withdrew from the race. Álvarez Máynez was previously García’s campaign coordinator and a lawmaker in Mexico’s lower house.
The Race for a Congress Supermajority
Congress is one of the key question marks of the 2024 vote. It’ll be crucial for the future of any constitutional changes sought by the next president, possibly including those López Obrador proposed in February but so far has been unable to pass.
Such amendments require the support of at least two-thirds of lawmakers, a supermajority the ruling party doesn't currently have. Analysts have cautioned some of AMLO’s proposals, such as electing Supreme Court justices through a popular vote and scrapping independent regulatory agencies, undermine democracy.
For that reason, a supermajority could lead to market jitters. The Mexican peso trades around the clock, so investors will be able to react on Sunday to early results.
Other Key Races to Watch
Mexico City
With an estimated 22 million people, the nation’s capital is a center of power on its own right, as well as a springboard for local politicians — AMLO himself, and now Sheinbaum — to enter the national scene.
The contest is between Clara Brugada from the ruling party, Santiago Taboada from the largest opposition coalition and Salomón Chertorivski from Movimiento Ciudadano. Analysts expect a tighter race in the city than that for the nation’s highest office.
Governor Races
In addition to Mexico City, the ruling coalition currently holds the governorship in 22 of the country’s 31 states, including five of the eight holding elections on June 2: Chiapas, Morelos, Puebla, Tabasco and Veracruz.
Another question is whether the opposition will retain governorships in Jalisco, Guanajuato and Yucatán.
Veracruz state is another one to watch closely. Running for Morena is former Energy Minister Rocío Nahle, against José Yunes of the main opposition coalition and Hipólito Deschamps from Movimiento Ciudadano.