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0 votes
0 answers
37 views

How to guess a random walk to achieve max sample correlation?

Define this 1-D discrete random walk start from 0: roll a die (the die may or may not be fair, the fixed probability of each face is unknown to the observer/guessor)...
cat's user avatar
  • 53
1 vote
0 answers
30 views

Extended Hidden Markov Models (HMM) parameter estimation

For simpler HMMs, we can use algorithms like Viterbi training (not decoding) or Baum Welch to estimate the parameters that best describe the observed data. How do we do the same when using a more ...
AlexS123's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
212 views

Monte Carlo simulation vs. Discrete event simulation

I'm trying to understand the difference between a Monte Carlo simulation vs. a Discrete event simulation. I learned from googling( for eg.: https://bookdown.org/manuele_leonelli/SimBook/types-of-...
user2450223's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
114 views

Simulating Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process - Conditional distribution of arrival times

For a Poisson process having rate $\lambda$. Given the number of events by time $T$ the set of event times are iid Uniform $(0,T)$ random variables. Suppose that each event are independently counted ...
J.doe's user avatar
  • 359
3 votes
0 answers
63 views

Gillespie's Algorithm's Connection to Kolmogorov's Forward Equations

I've been learning Gillespie's algorithm to simulate continuous time Markov chains. I understand how the algorithm is derived from the reaction probability density function $P(\tau, \mu)$ = ...
troutman314's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
151 views

Simulating a process

Let $W$ be a random variable valued in $L^2[0,1]$ (an infinite dimensional function space). Take $W=\{W(t), t\in[0,1]\}$ on $[0,1]$. $$W(t)=\sum_{i=1}^\infty e_i(t) N_i, \quad \forall t\in [0,1]$$ ...
Celine Harumi's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
138 views

What's the transition probability according to this PDE?

I'm trying to figure out how I can simulate markov chains based on an ODE: dN/dt = alpha N (1 - N / K) - beta N Thus N denotes ...
Mossa's user avatar
  • 123
1 vote
1 answer
233 views

How to simulate non-gaussian stochastic paths

(Edited to be clearer) I am trying to replicate simulating Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) but instead of the stochastic increment following a normal distribution, I would like it to follow a ...
mjam03's user avatar
  • 13
0 votes
0 answers
161 views

Simulating paths of stochastic process from density

I need yout help! I have a stochastic process $X_t$ and I know its density function $f(x,t)$, which is defined for $x>t$. I'm looking for a code in R that simulates the paths of the process, so I ...
Otsuaf's user avatar
  • 1
30 votes
5 answers
3k views

What are examples of statistical experiments that allow the calculation of the golden ratio?

There are some very simple experiences that can be done by a kid at home, whose result allows one to statistically approach famous numbers such as $\pi$ or $e$. An example where $\pi$ shows up is ...
rasmodius's user avatar
  • 1,733
1 vote
1 answer
74 views

Why does my simulation of nearest neighbors as circle origins provide different non-contact probability compared to theoretical?

I am simulating spatially distributed points in $\mathbb{R}^2$ with intensity $\lambda$ (units 1/area), which act as circle origins with radii being a random variable $R_k$. Given the distance to the $...
Joona Vaara's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
423 views

Simulation of compound Poisson Process with Lognormal jumps?

So I have the next problem: In order to simulate the ruin of a risk process I need, of course, to simulate the risk process itself but in this case this process has some characteristics that make it ...
Israel Barquín's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
630 views

Simulating exponential Vasicek/Ornstein-Uhlenbeck

I am trying to simulate commodity prices using the exponential Vasicek/Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model from Schwartz 1997 p. 926 Equation (1). I am using the closed form solution from Vega 2018 p. 5 Equation ...
Tharmis's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
1 answer
534 views

Geometric Brownian motion with target skewness and kurtosis

The Cholesky inversion method can be adopted to set a target correlation matrix when artificially generating a multivariate geometric Brownian motion dataset Can the moments of a univariate GBM be ...
develarist's user avatar
  • 4,025
1 vote
0 answers
109 views

Gaussian processes and generating functions from a distribution?

Some points in Rasmussen book on Gaussian processes are confusing, when he says that the first step in some GP regression is In Figure1.1(a) we show a number of sample functions drawn at random ...
krishnab's user avatar
  • 1,522

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