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2 votes
0 answers
23 views

Dirichlet/multinomial dirichlet model with autocorrelation

I need to estimate an inferential statistical model of a variable that is a set of 8 proportions that sum to 1. The data repeat for 25 years and the series is an AR1 process. Is there a statistical ...
Heather Ba's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
645 views

Dirichlet distribution with correlated components?

I am working with models that use Dirichlet distributions. However, I want to account for correlations between components. If this question is a duplicate, I'd also appreciate any pointers to the ...
Marco Pastor Mayo's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
88 views

Bayesian inference based on a 3$\times$3 contingency table

How do I make inferences about population parameters based on a 3$\times$3 table of observations? In "Bernoulli's Fallacy", Aubrey Clayton provides this (Table 5.8). Democrat Republican ...
Mkanders's user avatar
  • 346
2 votes
2 answers
344 views

Bayesian updates for Dirichlet-multinomial with Gamma prior

Let $$ \begin{aligned} X_i &\sim \text{Dir-multinom}(X\mid\lambda)\\ \lambda_{j} &\sim \text{Gamma}(\lambda_j\mid\alpha,\beta)\\ \end{aligned} $$ where $i$ iterates over observations, $j$ ...
Faydey's user avatar
  • 225
7 votes
1 answer
275 views

Mean of Generalization of the Dirichlet Distribution

I know that if $X_{1},X_{2},...X_{n}$ are independent $\mathrm{Gamma}(\alpha_{i},\theta)$ - distributed variables (notice they all have the same scale parameter $\theta$) and $Y_{i}=\frac{X_{i}}{\sum_{...
bbecon's user avatar
  • 101
1 vote
0 answers
147 views

How to model proportions with a hierarchical structure?

I have thinking about how to model proportions for a problem with hierarchical structure. In the problem, I have observations of users over multiple days, where each observation is a proportion of ...
Jeff's user avatar
  • 150
3 votes
1 answer
256 views

Multinomial-dirichlet with fractional counts

Suppose a lepidopterologist wants to estimate the relative proportions of three different species of butterfly. They go out into the field and count $N$ butterflies and record the number of each ...
diagonalisable's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

How is the mode in Dirichlet-Multinomial calculated?

The mode in Dirichlet-Multinomial is $$ \mathrm{Mode}(\pi_i) = \frac{\alpha_i + x_i - 1}{\sum_{j=1}^k (\alpha_j + x_j -1)} $$ Could you point out how is it calculated please? What is the importance ...
Mosab Shaheen's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
510 views

What are the possible estimates of the parameters of the multinomial distribution?

The expected value of the parameters of the multinomial distribution (taking into account the Dirichlet prior $D(\alpha)$ and the posterior Dirichlet-Multinomial) is: $\pi_i = α_i+ x_i / \sum_{j} α_j+...
Mosab Shaheen's user avatar