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May 12, 2018 at 11:55 vote accept uhoh
Apr 11, 2018 at 15:32 history tweeted twitter.com/StackSpaceExp/status/984091847273443329
Apr 11, 2018 at 1:05 answer added Mark Adler timeline score: 4
Apr 10, 2018 at 20:46 answer added Uwe timeline score: 11
Apr 10, 2018 at 14:43 comment added uhoh @BobJacobsen it's available from NASA. Although data from Explorer in 1966 may not be the final word on the subject, it certainly is interesting to read about!
Apr 10, 2018 at 13:52 comment added Bob Jacobsen Oops, sorry, looks like that paper actually is paywalled. My mistake. I’ll see what I can find...
Apr 10, 2018 at 13:47 comment added Bob Jacobsen Not enough for a true Answer, but perhaps it’ll help somebody: there’s a significant difference in atmospheric density (at 100’s of km altitude) with latitude. That would be a twice-per-orbit effect. It also has a day-night difference. The only non-pay walled paper I have handy is Newton&Pelz: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/JA074i016p04169
Apr 10, 2018 at 12:52 comment added uhoh @NathanaelVetters the strong feedback in atmospheric reentry makes the problem much more unpredictable. At 400 km the ISS only looses about 10 meters or less per orbit, so that kind of exponential behavior isn't really a good model here.
Apr 10, 2018 at 12:25 comment added Nathanael Vetters Remember Tiangong-1? Even the day before they changed the predicted time of impact to serval hours later because of lack of expected solar activity. So it sounds like there is a pretty significant amount of variation, though I don't have any numbers.
Apr 10, 2018 at 11:29 answer added zephyr0110 timeline score: 1
Apr 10, 2018 at 11:17 history edited uhoh CC BY-SA 3.0
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Apr 10, 2018 at 10:20 history asked uhoh CC BY-SA 3.0