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1 vote
1 answer
232 views

Low-rank approximation techniques for portfolio optimisation

I am trying to understand how low-rank approximation techniques such as PCA, factor analysis, total least squares, orthogonal regression, etc could be used in portfolio optimisation. Say I have a ...
Chris B's user avatar
  • 81
5 votes
2 answers
697 views

Predicting the Future FX Spot Rates

Say I need to predict what the spot rate between USD and CAD will be in 3 months. What will be the most accurate measure or model that I could possibly use? Does the 3 month forward rate necessarily ...
beeba's user avatar
  • 1,074
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

HAR-RV, realized GARCH and HEAVY model for realized volatility

I don't have much experience with volatility modeling using intraday data but I'm in the process of collecting 5mins data. Currently I have ~6 months of data. Is it enough to use these models with ...
opt's user avatar
  • 569
1 vote
1 answer
2k views

Selecting timeframe for time series analysis

In technical analysis, we may use confluence of direction for 3 timeframes to roughly gauge bias of market now. Similarly, if we use time series forecasting methods to predict(say daily data-whether S&...
Shelagh's user avatar
  • 131
2 votes
2 answers
675 views

Evaluating forecasting algorithm

I am trying to evaluate a forecasting algorithm for stock price prediction. However, the performance of the algorithm may be very much tied to the trading strategy. Is there a systematic way for ...
zzzbbx's user avatar
  • 167
11 votes
4 answers
2k views

Can the futures market's open interest predict commodity, treasury, and equity returns?

I came across this article and became curious. Can the futures market's open interest really predict market action?
Ralph Winters's user avatar