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0 votes
1 answer
69 views

Optimal Input and Target Variables for Forecasting Using a Deep Neural Network on Daily Stock/Index Data [closed]

What is the optimal input and target variables for forecasting with a deep neural network on daily stock/index data? More specifically I’m training a temporal convolutional network, but a more general ...
Lejoon's user avatar
  • 147
0 votes
0 answers
118 views

Good (non-random walk) financial time series to perform forecasting on

I would like to start with a brief caveat, namely that I am by no means a domain expert in financial markets. Therefore the question I am asking may sound silly to a practitioner but I am asking it ...
Mark Fisher's user avatar
0 votes
3 answers
911 views

Consistent offset/lag in time-series prediction using Neural Network (all code provided)

I'm using a neural network (keras package) to predict Bitcoin prices 48 hours in advance. The issue is that for some reason, my predictions are "correct" but they are lagging behind the true ...
Vladimir Belik's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

Why are my Neural Network predictions “correct”, but offset from true value? Not using any past lagged values

Please bear with me through the whole question - I just want to make it very clear what I've done so far and why I'm so perplexed. I am working with a neural network with the Keras package in R, ...
Vladimir Belik's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
49 views

Non-overlapping ranges of HCNN' observables and of state transition function

In the artcicle Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks HCNN is used for forecasting of nine time-series, namely: returns of the lows returns of the highs ...
zer0hedge's user avatar
  • 1,704
1 vote
4 answers
2k views

What Is A Good Success Rate Using Machine Learning For A Beginner?

I know this question will be quickly destroyed and my account summarily banned, but I just have to ask: For a trader using machine-learning algorithms (SVMs, ANNs, GAs, Decision Trees) for ...
poorly_built_human's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
537 views

Econometric vs ANN models for forecast?

I hope this is an appropriate question for this forum... for me it is an obvious query since it intrigues me for a long time. Ok, assume there are 2 distinct classes of models: econometric (AR, MA, ...
DBS's user avatar
  • 141