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Questions tagged [covariance-estimation]

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0 votes
1 answer
200 views

Update sample covariance matrix

I would like to update a covariance matrix $\mathbf{R}_T$ with a new incoming sample at time $T+1$, i.e. I would like a rank-1 update of the form $\frac{1}{T+1} [T \mathbf{R}_T + \mathbf{x}_{T+1}\...
VanBaffo's user avatar
  • 101
1 vote
2 answers
435 views

Meaning of an identity matrix for the covariance in portfolio optimization

Instead of using a sample covariance matrix for portfolio optimization, Ledoit and Wolf use an estimator that is the weighted average of the sample covariance matrix and the identity matrix, $I$. This ...
develarist's user avatar
  • 3,040
0 votes
1 answer
399 views

Covariance Shrinkage in Black-Litterman Framework

Good evening guys I am looking into the effects of covariance shrinkage on the diversification of asset weights for different portfolio optimisations. Initially, I was interested to see how it affects ...
Riskay's user avatar
  • 105
4 votes
1 answer
791 views

Ledoit/Wolf covariance shrinkage in risk-parity optimisation

This is more of a theoretical question. I have been working on some mean-variance / Black-Litterman models and played around with Ledoit/Wolf's covariance shrinkage method (sklearn function in Python)....
Riskay's user avatar
  • 105
0 votes
1 answer
412 views

Effective Time Length of Exponentially Weighted Covariance Matrix Estimate

In [1] Pafka, Potters and Kondor mention the following in section 2: In contrast, if this covariance matrix estimate is used for portfolio optimization (i.e. for selecting the portfolio in a ...
Hans-Peter Schrei's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
99 views

Risk-Neutral covariance matrix of arbitrage-free Nelson Siegel

For my thesis on a Bayesian sampling routine for a modification on arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel I came across an equation that involves a matrix exponential within an integral, i.e. $\int_{0}^{\Delta ...
Gert van Dasler's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
2k views

Creating a Covariance Matrix

Lets say that you have the correlation of x,y and you have the standard deviations of x and y , how would you then find the covariance of x,y using the correlation of x,y and and the standard ...
Pelumi's user avatar
  • 339
4 votes
6 answers
578 views

Is a more robust Covariance estimation possible?

I'm working on a mean-variance optimization problem, but instead of financial securities I'm choosing a 'portfolio' of N athletes. It is a 1-period optimization problem over one generic statistic ...
George's user avatar
  • 169
1 vote
0 answers
46 views

Correlation coefficient without cash flows?

I'm an intern at a company and one of our tasks is to calculate the the probability of default of both participants of a Swap(a Client and a Bank), for which we first need the correlation coefficient ...
sasha's user avatar
  • 21
1 vote
1 answer
81 views

Misunderstanding of time series autocovariance

I'm reading the "Time Series: Theory and Methods (2nd ed.)" by P.J.Brockwell and R.A.Davis. I've stopped at the one moment at pp.218-219 (Chapter 7 "Estimation of the mean and the Autocovariance ...
Dmitriy's user avatar
  • 243
1 vote
0 answers
367 views

Estimating an GARCH(1,1) model? Long hand method

I am really trying to invest some time to estimate a GARCH(1,1) method, I know there is many statistical packages that will do this for me (Eviews, MATLAB, R), but I am trying to do this by hand, so ...
Tony Chivers's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
223 views

Is Ledoit-Wolf Shrinkage with a Constant Correlation Prior Reasonable for a Stock/Bond Mix?

I've been looking into Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage but I've found the papers concentrate on large numbers of assets that tend to all be highly correlated. Often a universe of large cap stocks. I'm ...
rhaskett's user avatar
  • 1,641
4 votes
1 answer
883 views

Shrink covariance or correlation matrix

Is it preferable to shrink the covariance matrix vs the correlation matrix? Technically this amounts to either shrinking the sample correlation matrix and then transforming the shrunk correlation ...
Michael's user avatar
  • 500
1 vote
0 answers
189 views

Black Litterman - numerical instability

I am trying to work out the formula for the posterior mean in Black Litterman's model assuming 100% confidence : Ref: https://corporate.morningstar.com/ib/documents/MethodologyDocuments/IBBAssociates/...
natt010's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
1 answer
685 views

Portfolio Optimisation/Covariance Estimation on a large scale

When using Markowitz Portfolio Theory, e.g. for finding an optimal portfolio composition, one needs to have estimates of the returns, but most importantly of the covariance matrix. If our universe of ...
Phil-ZXX's user avatar
  • 1,052

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