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  • The Economist's article references Starfish Prime which makes for interesting reading about sat failure rates. Nothing like the OP's nonchalance about "laws of exponentials". Commented Feb 16 at 19:53
  • @ItalianPhilosophers4Monica: indeed, and that was with 1960s electronics, which were a lot less sensitive/miniaturized. Commented Feb 16 at 21:35