Timeline for Approximately how many civilian deaths were caused by Bashar al-Assad's regime in the Syrian civil war?
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| Nov 20, 2023 at 23:58 | history | edited | Italian Philosophers 4 Monica | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
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| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:59 | comment | added | got trolled too much this week | Check out "Data sources used" too. They seem to have used both opposition (SNHR, SOHR) and gov't sources. And in Annex II they explain that they've essentially added up all claims, although they did distinguish between identified and unidentified persons. They don't quite explain how they solved any disagreements as to the cause[r] of death of particular individuals. | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:52 | comment | added | got trolled too much this week | Yeah, the UN punts on Russia vs Iranian militias etc. They do have a table (A5) with heavy weapons vs small arms. It's about 50/50 on that too (81K vs 76K), which may seem a bit implausible. OTOH if the advancing troops shot civilians in the "opposing neighborhood" on sight, that's less implausible. | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:47 | comment | added | Italian Philosophers 4 Monica | I wouldn't worry overmuch about the exact number. The whole thing seems a bit guesstimated, as could be expected. The UN probably has better access to government areas but you can still bet Assad will try to softball things. Wonder what Russian contributions were? General "Armageddon" Surovikin got his nickname somewhere. And so did "Butcher" Dvornikov | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:44 | comment | added | got trolled too much this week | I've edited in a para where they calculate some percentages themselves. I hope you don't mind. My own calcs in comments above are a bit off from that. Can't be bothered to re-check why... | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:40 | history | edited | got trolled too much this week | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
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| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:25 | comment | added | got trolled too much this week | There is however an equally (85K) large chunk of "unknown" in UN's data. And "Islamic factions" are counted apart from ISIS too (18K). | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 21:19 | comment | added | got trolled too much this week | So UN's estimate is around only 44% (138/307) civilian deaths caused by the regime. Quite interesting. They assign a much larger civvie death toll being due to "Islamic factions" (87K --28%) than the London-based NGOs do. | |
| Nov 20, 2023 at 20:43 | history | edited | Italian Philosophers 4 Monica | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
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| Nov 20, 2023 at 20:37 | history | answered | Italian Philosophers 4 Monica | CC BY-SA 4.0 |