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3

So UN's estimate is around only 44% (138/307) civilian deaths caused by the regime. Quite interesting. They assign a much larger civvie death toll being due to "Islamic factions" (87K --28%) than the London-based NGOs do.
– got trolled too much this week
Commented Nov 20, 2023 at 21:19
There is however an equally (85K) large chunk of "unknown" in UN's data. And "Islamic factions" are counted apart from ISIS too (18K).
– got trolled too much this week
Commented Nov 20, 2023 at 21:25
I've edited in a para where they calculate some percentages themselves. I hope you don't mind. My own calcs in comments above are a bit off from that. Can't be bothered to re-check why...
– got trolled too much this week
Commented Nov 20, 2023 at 21:44
3

I wouldn't worry overmuch about the exact number. The whole thing seems a bit guesstimated, as could be expected. The UN probably has better access to government areas but you can still bet Assad will try to softball things. Wonder what Russian contributions were? General "Armageddon" Surovikin got his nickname somewhere. And so did "Butcher" Dvornikov
– Italian Philosophers 4 Monica
Commented Nov 20, 2023 at 21:47
Yeah, the UN punts on Russia vs Iranian militias etc. They do have a table (A5) with heavy weapons vs small arms. It's about 50/50 on that too (81K vs 76K), which may seem a bit implausible. OTOH if the advancing troops shot civilians in the "opposing neighborhood" on sight, that's less implausible.
– got trolled too much this week
Commented Nov 20, 2023 at 21:52

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