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Aug 14, 2023 at 12:07 comment added user47010 @Therac "hyper-dominance of the US", I don't believe the U.S. is hyper dominant anymore. There was a time, after WWII but not anymore. The U.S. economy is smaller than the E.U.'s and it's manufacturing base is smaller than China's. Militarily the U.S. acts in concert with it's allies, rarely on it's own. I would argue the U.S. can't even dominate little Israel, much less the rest of the world. Don't get me wrong, the US has leverage and often like minded friends and uses both; but that is not a sign of "hyper-dominance". Quite the opposite.
Aug 14, 2023 at 11:20 comment added user47010 (3) China's economy is based almost entirely on exports. China needs large markets like the EU and US. China doesn't think if all the non-western countries come together, they will replace that need. China can do math. China's "investment" is in the form of loans not grants and their foreign policy leverages these loans to "non-west-countries" in coercive debt traps not development. Pakistan, Djibouti, Venezuela, Equatorial Guinea, and Cuba are economically worse off since receiving this "aid". After observing for a decade its demonstrated,
Aug 14, 2023 at 10:52 comment added user47010 @Therac, think my points of disagreement come down to, (1) China wants to create a situation such that other countries will fear to destroy it. and (2) if the US destroys China in order to protect Taiwan, and (3) they want to become boycott proof. My thoughts, (1) China's total debt is north of 50 Trillion dollars, and their economy is existentially linked to the global economy. The situation already exists. (2) If the US and China went to war over Taiwan the US goal would not be to destroy china but protect Taiwan which has been the status quo for what 75 years.
Aug 13, 2023 at 0:33 vote accept Sayaman
Aug 12, 2023 at 12:01 comment added Therac @JMS "Si vis pacem, para bellum". Talking, thinking, and fighting war is the existing nation-states' literal raison d'etre. The tensions aren't high enough (I hope) for a repeat of WWII, but there are a few nations that long to end the geopolitical hyper-dominance of the US. So far the US has been able to play them against each other, but they know it's going on. There's no reason for anyone to invade the actual lower 48, of course.
Aug 11, 2023 at 12:28 comment added user47010 If Taiwan does spark a war it's unlikely to become WWIII. China is not yet able to conduct a global war. China only recently achieved the ability to perhaps successfully project power 70 miles off own their coast to Taiwan. Any conflict is much more likely to be limited, and not involve a homeland invasion or destruction by either side. If war comes it will be one of China's making and I can't believe they want that. Either way that will happen in Taiwan. What's going on in the M.E. is just plain old diplomacy. It's about advantage and is ultimately about averting war whoever wins.
Aug 11, 2023 at 0:28 review Suggested edits
Aug 11, 2023 at 6:57
Aug 10, 2023 at 20:45 comment added Jacob3 @JMS, I know that it's wierd, but worldpowers are developing their armies not just in order to combat the Taliban and ISIS, but also in order to be prepared to some future world war (since the war in the Ukraine, this started making more sense). You can hear it constantly from US defence heads, how they are comparing the US navy vs the Chinese navy, etc. - and they are spending billions to become more advanced "against" other world powers.
S Aug 10, 2023 at 18:56 history suggested CommunityBot CC BY-SA 4.0
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Aug 10, 2023 at 16:30 review Suggested edits
S Aug 10, 2023 at 18:56
Aug 10, 2023 at 15:44 comment added user47010 Nobody is talking or thinking war here. China wants a diminished U.S. because frankly the US had a lot of cards and is significantly ahead of China in soft power. The US has no interest in "destroying China" even if it did come to war in Taiwan. As for boycott proof, perhaps. The non aligned countries don't have the economic juice to insulate China from the EU or US concerns. I think once again China is seeking soft power. Alliances they can control to shield them internationally from critics.
Aug 10, 2023 at 10:03 history answered Jacob3 CC BY-SA 4.0