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    This is a much more detailed analysis than the other answers, so I'll go ahead an accept it for now. Commented Aug 5, 2022 at 15:31
  • @Ian The other answers don't even mention the threat from the Chinese official. That's the only reason the Times mentioned it, not because anyone calculated some risk.
    – user44029
    Commented Aug 5, 2022 at 21:30
  • I'm unsure why you think that Pelosi getting assassinated by fighter jet wouldn't lead to a nontrivial chunk of the GOP's base celebrating in the streets while their talking heads would make comments about how of course it's terrible but she had it coming etc etc. Commented Aug 6, 2022 at 8:38
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    @Shadur You're always going to have some foolish member of any party (especially these days) openly cheering for bad things to happen to the other side. I don't see GOP leadership doing that, nor do I see them balking at any sort of serious response for China. Again, this would shift public opinion against China.
    – Machavity
    Commented Aug 6, 2022 at 12:29