All Questions
Tagged with miracles probability
4
questions
-3
votes
2
answers
125
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How does determinism or eternal existence affect how “lucky” something is?
Suppose I have a dice with 1 million sides. I then think of a number, say, 700,000. Assume that there is no rigging involved.
The dice then lands on 700,000. Let’s assume we live in a world where this ...
- 105
1
vote
1
answer
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Does Bayes' Theorem justify rejecting an argument for the supernatural from a well-supported miracle?
Suppose you have really good evidence for a miracle. Let's say that given the evidence, the probability of the miracle having occurred is about 80%.
Now, you also know that miracles can only occur if ...
- 1,000
0
votes
2
answers
129
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Bayes and unknown probabilites: is this reasoning from the failure of explanation a fallacy?
Bayesian probability is an interpretation of the concept of
probability, in which, instead of frequency or propensity of some
phenomenon, probability is interpreted as reasonable expectation
...
user38026
3
votes
11
answers
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Is getting 100 Heads in a row from a fair coin a miracle or not?
Suppose a man continues to toss a coin until he gets 100 heads in a row. Suppose the outcomes of all tosses from the 9999901th toss to the 10 millionth toss are all heads and 100 heads in a row didn't ...
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