At 30% normal accuracy (15% with rapid fire), the two will do the same amount of damage, on average. At 29% normal accuracy, a normal attack will do more. At 31% accuracy, a rapid fire attack will do more.
X-Axis = Chance to hit with Normal Fire
Y-Axis = Average Damage per Ability Use (assuming 10 damage per successful hit)
Assuming you do 10 damage per hit:
- At 29% normal accuracy, you will do 2.9 damage per normal fire on average, and rapid fire will do 2.8 (24.08% chance to hit once, orfor 10 damage plus 1.96% chance to hit twice, averaged with 10for 20 damage per hit).
- At 30% accuracy, both will do 3 damage per ability use on average.
- At 31% accuracy, a normal attack will do 3.1 average damage, while a rapid fire attack will do 3.2 damage average damage.
Here is a spreadsheet where I did the calculations.