AllMarket Outlook
logoArgusJuly 08, 2024

Daily Spotlight: Argus's Favored Classes, Segments

Market Outlook
Bullish - Short term
Summary

June was another positive month for equity investors, as the S&P 500 climbed 3.5%, while the fixed-income benchmark ETF AGG declined 0.5%. Looking ahead, our Stock-Bond Barometer model modestly favors bonds over stocks for long-term portfolios. In other words, these asset classes should be near their target weights in diversified portfolios, with a slight tilt toward fixed income, given the rise in yields over the past year. We are over-weight on large-caps. We favor large-caps for growth exposure and financial strength, while small-caps offer value. Our recommended exposure to small- and mid-caps is 12%-13% of equity allocation, below the benchmark weighting. U.S. stocks have outperformed global stocks over the trailing five-year period. We expect the long-term trend favoring U.S. stocks to continue, given volatile and erratic global economic, political, geopolitical, and currency conditions. That said, international stocks offer favorable near-term valuations, and we target 5%-10% of equity exposure to the group. In ter

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