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usernumber
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The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the absolute magnitude.

The data can be exported to a CSV file to estimate the apparent magnitude for each object, using the following equation.

$$ m = H + 5 \log_{10} \bigg( \frac{d_{BS}d_{BO}}{d_0^2} \bigg) - q(\alpha) $$ where $H$ is the absolute magnitude, $m$ is the apparent magnitude, d_{*} are the distances between the objects and $a(\alpha)$ is the reflected light. $q(\alpha)$ is a number between 0 and 1.

I only want to know what happens when the object is closest to the Earth, so I use the approximation that the distance from the Sun to the NEO is 1AU.

$q(\alpha)$ is complicated to compute, so I just compute $m$ using $q=0$ and $q=1$. This leads to

min value $ = H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) - 1 < m < H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) = $ max value

with $d_{BO}$ the distance between the Earth and the NEO expressed in astronomical units (AU).

The server is unhappy when I try to get the entire database, so I limited my export to the brightest objects (H<14) that come reasonably close to Earth (d<0.05 AU), with no time limit.

Among these 24588 objects, 4 have a maximal magnitude less than 6, and 16 have a minimal magnitude less than 6. So between 1900 and 2200, no more than 16 NEOs are visible by the naked eye.

In particular, 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) has an apparent magnitude between 1.7 and 2.7 based on these estimates. Its close approach date is April 13 2029.

enter image description here

But this doesn't say anything on NEOs from before 1900 or after 2200.

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the absolute magnitude.

The data can be exported to a CSV file to estimate the apparent magnitude for each object, using the following equation.

$$ m = H + 5 \log_{10} \bigg( \frac{d_{BS}d_{BO}}{d_0^2} \bigg) - q(\alpha) $$ where $H$ is the absolute magnitude, $m$ is the apparent magnitude, d_{*} are the distances between the objects and $a(\alpha)$ is the reflected light. $q(\alpha)$ is a number between 0 and 1.

I only want to know what happens when the object is closest to the Earth, so I use the approximation that the distance from the Sun to the NEO is 1AU.

$q(\alpha)$ is complicated to compute, so I just compute $m$ using $q=0$ and $q=1$. This leads to

min value $ = H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) - 1 < m < H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) = $ max value

with $d_{BO}$ the distance between the Earth and the NEO expressed in astronomical units (AU).

The server is unhappy when I try to get the entire database, so I limited my export to the brightest objects (H<14) that come reasonably close to Earth (d<0.05 AU), with no time limit.

Among these 24588 objects, 4 have a maximal magnitude less than 6, and 16 have a minimal magnitude less than 6. So between 1900 and 2200, no more than 16 NEOs are visible by the naked eye.

In particular, 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) has an apparent magnitude between 1.7 and 2.7 based on these estimates. Its close approach date is April 13 2029.

enter image description here

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the absolute magnitude.

The data can be exported to a CSV file to estimate the apparent magnitude for each object, using the following equation.

$$ m = H + 5 \log_{10} \bigg( \frac{d_{BS}d_{BO}}{d_0^2} \bigg) - q(\alpha) $$ where $H$ is the absolute magnitude, $m$ is the apparent magnitude, d_{*} are the distances between the objects and $a(\alpha)$ is the reflected light. $q(\alpha)$ is a number between 0 and 1.

I only want to know what happens when the object is closest to the Earth, so I use the approximation that the distance from the Sun to the NEO is 1AU.

$q(\alpha)$ is complicated to compute, so I just compute $m$ using $q=0$ and $q=1$. This leads to

min value $ = H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) - 1 < m < H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) = $ max value

with $d_{BO}$ the distance between the Earth and the NEO expressed in astronomical units (AU).

The server is unhappy when I try to get the entire database, so I limited my export to the objects that come reasonably close to Earth (d<0.05 AU), with no time limit.

Among these 24588 objects, 4 have a maximal magnitude less than 6, and 16 have a minimal magnitude less than 6. So between 1900 and 2200, no more than 16 NEOs are visible by the naked eye.

In particular, 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) has an apparent magnitude between 1.7 and 2.7 based on these estimates. Its close approach date is April 13 2029.

enter image description here

But this doesn't say anything on NEOs from before 1900 or after 2200.

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usernumber
  • 17.6k
  • 3
  • 54
  • 134

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the absolute magnitude.

The data can be exported to a CSV file to estimate the apparent magnitude for each object, using the following equation.

When showing all available past$$ m = H + 5 \log_{10} \bigg( \frac{d_{BS}d_{BO}}{d_0^2} \bigg) - q(\alpha) $$ where $H$ is the absolute magnitude, $m$ is the apparent magnitude, d_{*} are the distances between the objects and future $a(\alpha)$ is the reflected light. $q(\alpha)$ is a number between 0 and 1.

I only want to know what happens when the object is closest to the Earth, so I use the approximation that the distance from the Sun to the NEO is 1AU.

$q(\alpha)$ is complicated to compute, so I just compute $m$ using $q=0$ and $q=1$. This leads to

min value $ = H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) - 1 < m < H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) = $ max value

with $d_{BO}$ the distance between the Earth and the NEO expressed in astronomical units (from 1900AU).

The server is unhappy when I try to 2200get the entire database, so I limited my export to the brightest objects (H<14) events where an object passes less than 0that come reasonably close to Earth (d<0.205 AU from Earth), and sorting bywith no time limit.

Among these 24588 objects, 4 have a maximal magnitude less than 6, the smallestand 16 have a minimal magnitude is 10less than 6.4 So between 1900 and 2200, indicating that none of themno more than 16 NEOs are visible withby the naked eye.

This doesn't say anything about NEOs that passed by before 1900 thoughIn particular, 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) has an apparent magnitude between 1.7 and 2.7 based on these estimates. Its close approach date is April 13 2029.

enter image description here

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the magnitude.

When showing all available past and future (from 1900 to 2200) events where an object passes less than 0.2 AU from Earth, and sorting by magnitude, the smallest magnitude is 10.4, indicating that none of them are visible with the naked eye.

This doesn't say anything about NEOs that passed by before 1900 though.

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the absolute magnitude.

The data can be exported to a CSV file to estimate the apparent magnitude for each object, using the following equation.

$$ m = H + 5 \log_{10} \bigg( \frac{d_{BS}d_{BO}}{d_0^2} \bigg) - q(\alpha) $$ where $H$ is the absolute magnitude, $m$ is the apparent magnitude, d_{*} are the distances between the objects and $a(\alpha)$ is the reflected light. $q(\alpha)$ is a number between 0 and 1.

I only want to know what happens when the object is closest to the Earth, so I use the approximation that the distance from the Sun to the NEO is 1AU.

$q(\alpha)$ is complicated to compute, so I just compute $m$ using $q=0$ and $q=1$. This leads to

min value $ = H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) - 1 < m < H + 5 \log (d_{BO}) = $ max value

with $d_{BO}$ the distance between the Earth and the NEO expressed in astronomical units (AU).

The server is unhappy when I try to get the entire database, so I limited my export to the brightest objects (H<14) that come reasonably close to Earth (d<0.05 AU), with no time limit.

Among these 24588 objects, 4 have a maximal magnitude less than 6, and 16 have a minimal magnitude less than 6. So between 1900 and 2200, no more than 16 NEOs are visible by the naked eye.

In particular, 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) has an apparent magnitude between 1.7 and 2.7 based on these estimates. Its close approach date is April 13 2029.

enter image description here

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usernumber
  • 17.6k
  • 3
  • 54
  • 134

The Near-Earth close approches website shows close approaches to the Earth by near-Earth objects (NEOs). The table showing all close encounters indicates the magnitude.

When showing all available past and future (from 1900 to 2200) events where an object passes less than 0.2 AU from Earth, and sorting by magnitude, the smallest magnitude is 10.4, indicating that none of them are visible with the naked eye.

This doesn't say anything about NEOs that passed by before 1900 though.