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  • Definitely makes sense while there is no real predictive model given all the variables. I guess I had a concept that with the billions of drives deployed someone might have used them to their death and on a basic level documented their real world results. Although I could see how the failure curve for Hitachi drives vs a brand like Seagate drives taken out 15 years would be drastically different meaning generalizations would break down unless the data had enough diversity. Thank you for your insight!
    – Damon
    Commented Jan 2, 2017 at 16:41
  • I think we will go on the no news is good news concept. I sought out data or information saying drives fail or don't fail much after 5 years and got no answer specifically to the point probably meaning their is not some cliff of failures at the 8 year mark or something. We have a small data set on the drives we have used so I think I will start tracking the drive models, age, and running years and see if we can find trends over [the longer period of] time. We specially buy Hitachi drives due to the data we do have although with HGST owned by WD, trends will change there.
    – Damon
    Commented Jan 2, 2017 at 16:46